The Republican People’s Party (CHP) in Türkiye is on the brink of a possible division as internal conflicts intensify. Former party leader Özgür Özel, after losing the leadership contest to Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, is anticipated to establish a new political party this week. This move signals a significant change within the Turkish political landscape, as Özel seeks to offer an alternative vision to the longstanding opposition.
Despite the buzz around Özel’s impending new party, there is uncertainty about the level of support he might garner. While his supporters assert that as many as 80 CHP lawmakers might switch sides, party insiders suggest a more conservative estimate of around 60. This discrepancy raises questions about the new party’s potential to emerge as the main opposition force in Parliament.
The tensions within the CHP highlight broader disagreements concerning the party’s strategic direction. A faction of the party is also concerned about the role of former Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, who, despite facing legal issues, continues to wield considerable influence. His presence adds another layer of complexity to the party’s internal dynamics.
Compounding Özel’s challenges are the multiple parliamentary immunity cases pending against him. If parliamentarians decide to revoke his immunity, it could pose a major hurdle for his political ambitions. This legal vulnerability may impact his ability to effectively lead a new political entity and attract sufficient support from within the CHP ranks.